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Xavier Becerra Surges in 2026 California Governor Race Polls

Xavier Becerra is leading early polls for the 2026 California Governor race, facing progressive criticism while highlighting his health care and economic platforms. Get the latest on his campaign.

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Smiling middle-aged man with gray hair in a white button-down shirt, outdoors, with a lapel microphone clipped to his collar.

Becerra surges in California governor race after Swalwell exit — and draws fire from progressives ahead of June primary

Xavier Becerra, former U.S. HHS secretary and state attorney general, has surged in early 2026 California governor polling after Rep. Eric Swalwell’s exit, drawing progressive criticism while competing in a crowded June 2 top-two primary.

Key takeaways

  • Xavier Becerra has climbed from low single digits to contention after Rep. Eric Swalwell’s withdrawal, appearing tied with Tom Steyer in recent snapshots.
  • Campaign focus: He markets himself as the “Health Care Governor,” emphasizing Medi-Cal expansion and steps toward Medicare for All over time.
  • Progressive scrutiny: Activists and rivals attack his HHS record, corporate donations and opposition to certain wealth-tax proposals.
  • Primary still fluid: High undecided numbers and a crowded field make the June 2 top-two outcome unpredictable statewide and locally in San Luis Obispo.

Becerra’s late climb and the Swalwell effect

Xavier Becerra spent much of 2025 polling in the low single digits and largely outside the top tier. That shifted after Rep. Eric Swalwell ended his campaign and resigned amid sexual-assault allegations, reconfiguring Democratic dynamics.

Several recent polls and post-debate snapshots showed Becerra surging into contention. One poll cited in coverage placed him at roughly 23% among registered voters in a mixed-field, ahead of some Republican contenders and tied with Tom Steyer among Democrats. (Sources cited include the Independent Voter Project poll and debate coverage.)

Campaign platform and pitch

Becerra markets himself as the “Health Care Governor”, leaning on three decades of public service: time as a congressman, California attorney general and U.S. secretary of Health and Human Services. His campaign emphasizes making health care more affordable, expanding Medi‑Cal, closing coverage gaps and “building toward Medicare for All” over time.

The campaign frames past legal fights defending the Affordable Care Act and pandemic-era HHS work as proof he can deliver results. Policy priorities listed on the campaign site include health care, housing, childcare and using state power to lower consumer prices. (See the campaign site and a profile from CalMatters.)

Becerra cites successes such as defending the ACA in court and expanding coverage while at HHS. He proposes economic steps to fight price gouging, expand childcare aid, reduce barriers to housing construction, and offer down‑payment assistance. He entered the race with about $1.4 million left from prior state funds but advisers say he must raise more to scale advertising and outreach after four years out of elected office. (Source: CalMatters reporting.)

Progressive backlash: the record under scrutiny

As Becerra’s standing has improved, progressive activists, labor allies and some Democratic operatives have intensified scrutiny. Critics label him a “middle-of-the-road” or “go-along” Democrat, arguing he is too comfortable with corporate interests rather than leading a confrontational progressive agenda. Amar Shergill, former chair of the California Democratic Party’s progressive caucus, has signaled his faction is working to blunt Becerra’s momentum.

Specific lines of attack include:

  • Clips from his time as HHS secretary that critics say show weak handling of the surge of unaccompanied migrant children at the southern border. (See debate and news clips: border-related clips.)
  • Campaign donations and ties to major corporations such as Chevron, cited to suggest closeness to energy and business interests. (Coverage highlighted in campaign finance reporting.)
  • Opposition, in some instances, to a union-backed proposal to tax the ultrawealthy — seen by progressives as evidence he won’t fully embrace wealth taxes.
  • Skepticism about his commitment to single-payer health care: activists press for firmer, immediate commitments despite rhetoric about “building toward Medicare for All.” (Campaign messaging: campaign site.)

Debate dynamics and head-to-head fights

Debates and forums sharpened contrasts among Democrats. Katie Porter pressed Becerra on corporate accountability and health policy; the two traded barbs on stage. Becerra countered by pointing to his legal record and administrative experience, arguing he is better prepared to implement policy at scale than someone with only a short congressional tenure.

Observers noted debates boosted name recognition for multiple candidates but also gave progressives new material to attack Becerra on procedural and policy points. (See post-debate polling and analysis: debate coverage.)

Broader race picture and the path forward

The contest remains fragmented with high undecided numbers. Post‑debate polling shows several candidates clustered in the teens, leaving room for movement before ballots begin arriving in mailboxes. Republicans, including Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco, figure in early mixed-field polling, making the top-two primary outcome unpredictable.

Democratic leaders have privately urged consolidation to avoid a split that could allow multiple strong Republicans to advance, but the field has shown little sign of rapidly narrowing. Supporters say Becerra’s lengthy résumé of legal fights, executive experience and health expertise is an asset for statewide governance; detractors say experience alone is not a shield and past record should be examined closely.

Campaign messaging and media strategy

Becerra’s team is investing in television and digital ads that emphasize pandemic leadership, legal victories on immigrants’ rights and workers’ protections, and plans to lower costs for families. Opponents are using clips and social posts to raise doubts about past decisions. The compressed calendar for California’s top-two primary — with ballots starting to mail soon — gives both sides a narrow window to shape impressions. (See campaign videos and media appearances: campaign clips.)

Implications for San Luis Obispo County

Economic and housing effects:

  • Health-care priorities: A push to strengthen Medi‑Cal and lower costs could expand coverage and reduce out-of-pocket costs for county families; local clinics and hospitals might see state-linked funding opportunities. (Campaign platform: campaign site.)
  • Housing and affordability: Plans to work with builders and offer down-payment assistance could translate to state incentives that support local housing projects, subject to local zoning and political cooperation. (Analysis: CalMatters.)

Political consequences:

  • San Luis Obispo Democrats will face choices about mobilization and messaging if Becerra secures a top-two spot; progressives may press for clearer commitments on taxes and single‑payer plans.
  • Local turnout drives could be decisive given high undecided rates statewide; tailored outreach on housing, health care and rural services will matter for mail-ballot returns.

Social and community impact:

  • Health services and rural access: Stronger Medi‑Cal reimbursement or targeted programs could help rural clinics expand mental health, substance-use and primary care services outside urban cores.
  • Climate and industry ties: Progressive critiques about corporate donations, including oil-industry ties, may resonate in a county where environmental concerns and agriculture intersect.

Practical effects for daily life:

  • Efforts to fight price gouging could lead to enforcement actions or new rules affecting gas, groceries and utilities — immediate concerns for San Luis Obispo families.
  • Expect heightened local campaigning, mail pieces and events such as town halls at Cal Poly and community forums focused on health care, housing and local industries.

Sources and reporting notes

Key reporting and source material for this story include campaign materials from Xavier Becerra’s official site, a profile from CalMatters, and recent debate and polling coverage archived in video reports and post‑debate summaries:

“Becerra’s supporters say his long résumé of legal fights, executive experience and health expertise is an asset in a state managing large‑scale policy issues; detractors say past record must be examined closely.”

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Hanna Crosby

Hanna Crosby is a senior business and finance analyst for Times Media Service, based in the Washington bureau. Crosby covers business and finance, including fiscal policy, the economy and how economic decisions affect communities. Crosby holds a master's degree in mass communication and grew up in Northridge, California.

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